Sorry, I don’t do predictions. Normally I wouldn’t even mention the topic. But hey, this is the age of the Internet! We can just leave the predicting to people smarter than us – and comment on them 🙂
Here’s two sets of predictions for 2007 that are definitely worth a read, from people whose blogs are on my list of favourites:
- Lots of mobile TV hype, but little in the way of actual success.
- Mobile data services for automobiles will take off.
- Mobile social networking doesn’t do much, but the action’s in mobile social media.
- Full-track music downloads over mobile will largely fail, leading operators and content providers to finally realize there are other aspects to mobile music.
- Mobile search will continue to run in place.
- More flat-rate data — and hopefully affordable flat-rate data — in Europe.
- VoWi-Fi’s real impact will be limited to some pricing pressure on certain types of calls.
- There will be plenty of launches of WiMAX networks and others based on non-traditional or new mobile broadband technologies, but their largest impact will be felt by fixed-line broadband providers.
- Mobile payments will struggle in the west, but they’ll be supplanted by other RFID applications in handsets.
- Flat fees will become more affordable bit by bit.
- Thus, more user-generated content will become available to the phone; opening the way for mobile users to start using new web/mobile 2.0 services on their phones, such as podcasting, RSS feeds, more user-generated content to upload and use.
- Big Media Youth Networks going mobile – MySpace, YouTube, MTV and many more players will resolutely go mobile; allowing users to upload pictures, videos and create/consumer content straight from their mobile phones. And to share with friends (including mobile forwarding functionality).
- Mobile search – the big players will start positioning seriously in the mobile market (watch out for deals with carriers/operators and device manufacturers)
- Mobile ads – the market is growing at a rapid pace (just watch AdMob’s ad views ticker box daily)
- QR codes will start to enter retail markets.
- Mobile image recognition will pop up in mixed marketing campaigns.
- Cell Phone memory card swapping – to exchange music/video files.
- Multiple network download hotspots become available in urban zones – enabling ‘on the spot’ mobile download and internet access possibilities via wi-fi/wimax/bluetooth/nfc/etc…. (all build in or available immediately)
- Rise of ’smart client’ solutions, for convergence of content and application functionality on mobile devices in general
Last but not least, a few smart comments by moi:
- Widgetization: I’d really like to see this happen, but somehow I don’t think it will happen just yet. Maybe the iPhone could have the potential to kick-start this (since OSX already IS a widget platform), unless it is (and remains) closed – which seems to be the case up to now 😦
- Mobile data services for automobiles: hm… this might be true – and there’s already some smart ideas in the pipeline (my god, I’m so funny).
- Mobile social media: Definitely something to keep an eye on this year! And even though I normally DON’T make predictions, I’m predicting a growing interest in location based mobile social applications as well here.
- QRCodes: Don’t get me wrong. I’m a geek. I think they’re cool. But I’m still not totally convinced: Most use cases I’ve seen, tried and thought about so far could have been handled much faster and easier by dialling a simple alphanumeric short code… Only if there’s a single 2D barcode standard and a robust reader pre-installed on every device, this concept will fly.
Filed under: Geek, Mobile, Technology, Web | 1 Comment